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After Hours catches up with Helmut Norpoth – an election modeler and professor at Stony Brook University – to discuss his latest prediction of the 2020 Presidential election.

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29 replies
  1. Gabriele T. says:

    I would prefer Biden to win, but the guy has consistently predicted correctly most the past elections and he has published some papers before the upcoming elections consistently predicting the winner. The model is really a rough approach but seems it works. I will bet 10K for Trump win.

  2. johnmonk66 says:

    They are so afraid of mail in ballots, why? How many dead votes can come in? I think the mail is ballots will also help Republicans, here is why.
    I live in a neighborhood that is 10% white, you think I am safe going to an election site? Even if not white, Republicans will be free to vote the way they want without threats. How many conservative blacks are afraid to speak out?
    I know a lot of whites in areas like mine who did not vote for this reason, now they will all mail in their ballots, safely

  3. Candy Smith says:

    After the country witnessed what dems did to SCJ Brett Kavanough, adding all the pork to much needed stimulus packages, riots and looting in their democrat ran cities/towns, you betchya people will come out in droves to not only vote Trump but vote all red down ballot to flip the house, hold the Senate in order to protect America First policies. BTW Turbo Vote by Democracy Works, Inc is advertised heavily on FB these days. They want you to register to vote via their website, BEWARE! They are pushing mail-in voting so that tells me they are linked to the democrat party. They say they are not affiliated with any party, but I can tell by their language they are. Do not register via the internet, go to your post office or election office in your town. Absentee Ballot voting is very different from regular mail-in voting. Absentee is ID verified, regular ballots can be sent to anyone and anyone can fill them out. FRAUD!

  4. Jon Jonas says:

    WHITE PEOPLE OF AMERICA VOTE FOR THAT GREAT GREAT REPUBLICAN WHITE MAN IN NOVEMBER AND TELL ALL OF YOUR WHITE FRIENDS AND WHITE FAMILY TO VOTE FOR THAT GREAT GREAT REPUBLICAN WHITE MAN IN NOVEMBER BECAUSE HE IS THE GREATEST GREATEST LEADER IN UNITED STATES HISTORY GOD BLESS THIS GREAT MAN AND HIS GREAT FAMILY AND HE WILL WIN IN NOVEMBER IN A HISTORIC LANDSLIDE WIN HE WILL WIN ALL 5O STATES IN NOVEMBER ON ELECTION NIGHT AND WHITE PEOPLE OF AMERICA VOTE FOR THAT GREAT GREAT REPUBLICAN WHITE MAN IN NOVEMBER NOW RIGHT NOW !

  5. Jeremy teed says:

    He's been wrong once…allen litchman accurately predicted the last 9..and he said trump will lose..if trump ONLY won with the electorate and even then just barely…where does ANYONE get 91% from?

  6. L B says:

    I saw a video about Professor Allan Lichtmann where he predicted that Biden will win. They say that Lichtman has been right in predicting who will win the Presidency for the past four decades. I pray that he is not correct this time.

  7. John Munro says:

    Reason why I have decided Trump is not good enough to be a President. He shut down the world for corona virus. We know this is suspicious.. fauci who has a dark past is calling the shots for our freedom…… big pharma is slowing trying to make Corona virus a mandatory thing..to allow the police to come into your home etc.. We need to get back to the Constitution. I see Tom Hoefling as the best choice. 2020.

  8. Frankie Dog Turner says:

    There is a 7% biase against Trump in every single poll. Add 7% to the Trump figures and you will always get the result. It is not just in the USA it is across the world – in Australia and in even in poor pitiful little England the same result. Conservatives do not tell the poll takers who they are really going to vote for.

  9. Jack Jones says:

    . . . Unless they can steal it through millions of illegally manipulated and coerced mail in votes! Demand in person voting with legal ID and verification.

  10. Ed Pontiff says:

    I'll take those odds ! President TRUMP is the CYRUS of our time GOD himself is at his right hand and protection and will TRUMP any opposition thrown at him and will eradicate this MARXIST SOCIALIST MOVEMENT radical left democratic's efforts to destroy this country period ! Like a raisin in the sun his light will consume them and burn them up !!!

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